BTC Trend following doesn't work all the time.

Aurspire shows when trend following works and when it doesn’t.

Model based, Not financial advise

Current Risk Level BTC

Why Aurspire Exists

Aurspire’s mission is simple: bring clarity to ambiguous markets.

The Reality

BTC is volatile. Rallies reverse fast. Drawdowns arrive. Choppy markets wear people down.

The Problem

Risk often feels random in real time. Traders act without clear orientation on current conditions.

Our Focus

We don’t predict the future. We make market conditions readable with historically informed, statistically grounded risk regimes.

“I built Aurspire after seeing how often traders weren’t wrong — they were just disoriented. Markets changed regime and they didn’t have language for it. Aurspire exists to give people clarity without pretending to predict the future.”

— Founder, Aurspire

Regime Radar

StrategyReturnMax DDAvg DDTradesExposure
BASE
Trades all signals regardless of market conditions. Starting balance is 100,000 USD.
745%-56%-23%20100%
FILTERED
Applies a condition-based filter that, in historical tests, reduced drawdowns and improved risk-adjusted performance. Starting balance is 100,000 USD.
918%-33%-16%1785%
Filtered approach resulted in: +173% return and -23% drawdown reduction in historical testing.

Regiems are tested and from BTC data spanning 2020-10-31 - 2026-04-21. These values summarize past conditions and do not predict future results.

Performance Over Time
Turbulence Risk score vs overlaid on BTC: Regime index
Performance graph

Key Features

Trend-following works—just not all the time. Aurspire helps identify when it does.

Real-Time Risk Clarity

BTC is ambiguous. Our risk regimes make current market conditions easier to read - so you don’t have to guess.

Historical Regimes

BTC changes across cycles. Compare today’s conditions to past calm, choppy, and stressed regimes.

Clear Insights

Up-to-date insights based on historical BTC market regimes across multiple cycles.

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